Uncertainty is the only certainty there is, and knowing how to live with insecurity is the only security.
— John Allen Paulos.
Today I’m kicking off a new series on index investing. I’m going to run the risk of offending the hive-mind with this series, so let me preface it with a couple of reminders: I am not a financial professional. I do not have a degree in economics. I offer only the opinions of a guy who spends a lot of time thinking about these sorts of things. There are many extremely smart people with extremely impressive degrees who disagree with me, and I highly recommend reading what they have to say.
Now that that’s settled, I’ll just come right out and say it — I have grave doubts about the future of conventional index investing. My reasons for this are many, and each could sustain a lengthy discussion and debate. The following series of posts will discuss a few of them in broad strokes. [Click to continue…]